TESLA STOCK SIMULATOR

Model Tesla's future stock price using bottom-up business analysis. Configure revenue, margins, and P/E assumptions across all business streams.

⚡ Featured: Elon's 2035 Compensation Plan — What happens if Tesla hits $8.5T market cap?

Current Reality

Stock Price
$454.43
Market Cap
$1.51T
Revenue
$90.2B
Net Income
$0.0B
EPS
$1.50
P/E
286.9x
Shares
3.33B

Elon's 2035 Compensation Plan

🚗
Vehicles/Year
20M
🤖
FSD Subscribers
10M
🚕
Robotaxis
1M
🦾
Optimus Robots
1M
💰
Market Cap Goal
$8.5T

Stock Price by Year

Revenue / Earnings / EPS

P/E Normalization

Gross Profit by Stream

⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a hypothetical model for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Stock prices are inherently unpredictable.

How It Works

1

Model Revenue

Configure TAM, market penetration, and pricing for each business stream.

2

Set Margins

Define net margins for each segment to calculate earnings.

3

Configure P/E

Set starting and terminal P/E multiples with normalization curves.

4

Get Price Target

Stock Price = EPS × P/E. See yearly projections and CAGR.

Ready to Model Your Scenario?

Create your own Tesla stock price projection in minutes.

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About Me

Philipp - Creator of Tesla Stock Simulator and founder of Reruption

Hi, I'm Philipp!

I built this Tesla Stock Simulator to model future stock prices using bottom-up business analysis. By breaking down Tesla's revenue streams—automotive, energy, FSD subscriptions, robotaxis, and Optimus—and applying realistic margin and P/E assumptions, we can project potential stock price scenarios. This tool helps investors understand the fundamental drivers behind Tesla's valuation and explore different future outcomes.